London mayor election: Sadiq Khan wins historic third term, BBC forecasts

london-mayor-election:-sadiq-khan-wins-historic-third-term,-bbc-forecasts

Sadiq Khan was first elected as London mayor in May 2016Image source, PA Media

Image caption,

Sadiq Khan was first elected as London mayor in May 2016

By Thomas Mackintosh

BBC News

Labour’s Sadiq Khan will be re-elected as Mayor of London for a third term, according to BBC’s polling expert Professor Sir John Curtice.

All 14 constituencies have been declared – Mr Khan has won nine including two gains from the Tories.

The BBC anticipates the outcome in terms of votes will approximately be 43% for Mr Khan and 33% for his Tory rival Susan Hall.

This would represent a swing of 2.5% from Tory to Labour.

Voter turnout was 40.5% in the mayoral contest, down 1.5% overall from 2021.

Counting started at 09:00 BST on Saturday morning and a final result is not expected until Saturday evening.

So far, Mr Khan has won in the Lambeth & Southwark, Barnet & Camden, City of London & East, Merton & Wandsworth, Greenwich & Lewisham, Enfield & Haringey and North East, all of which he won at the last contest in 2021.

He gained West Central from the Conservatives, with a 5.2% swing to Labour from the Tories and South West from the Tories with a 2.7% swing.

Ms Hall has held the outer London boroughs of Havering & Redbridge, Croydon & Sutton, Bexley & Bromley, Ealing & Hillingdon and Brent & Harrow.

On Thursday votes were also cast for a London Assembly constituency member and a London Assembly London-wide member.

Ms Hall has vowed to scrap the expanded Ultra Low Emission Zone (Ulez) covering outer London and tackle violent crime.

She said there was “a clear choice between being ignored for another four years by Sadiq Khan, or electing a new mayor who listens”.

Among 10 key pledges, Mr Khan is offering a one-year Transport for London (TfL) fare freeze and four years of free school meals for seven to 11-year-old primary pupils.

Speaking at City Hall ahead of the official results, London Assembly’s Labour group leader Len Duvall effectively called the election result for Mr Khan.

Mr Duvall told the Local Democracy Reporting Service: “I think the trends are there. I think this looks like Sadiq has crossed the line and has got a third term.”

He believes Liberal Democrat and Green voters appear to have “lent” their support on the mayoral ballot to Mr Khan, while Reform UK took votes from the Conservatives.

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